Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 304.130808 345.365426 391.573482 447.465001 513.600642 589.809089 684.913179
2025-01-12 241.211257 294.070658 358.863643 445.196641 558.847624 705.697394 913.725057
2025-01-19 199.425635 253.727516 324.032174 423.587455 564.043303 760.065357 1063.566426
2025-01-26 183.855701 242.868075 323.082857 443.137766 623.809703 895.276148 1354.281909
2025-02-02 173.904662 237.391058 327.478911 469.208403 695.571702 1060.286583 1732.381058
2025-02-09 159.338403 223.169843 316.874914 470.321710 727.631907 1167.185420 2039.667543
2025-02-16 144.260414 206.305676 299.948061 458.462895 735.387137 1232.787124 2286.812904
2025-02-23 132.184278 192.623473 286.165850 449.410200 745.693891 1303.796543 2563.993654
2025-03-02 125.919759 187.228304 284.724382 460.618208 793.633816 1455.467544 3063.657335
2025-03-09 118.255573 178.818493 277.349951 460.208399 819.255726 1567.212482 3508.860161
2025-03-16 109.876097 168.488312 265.678664 450.398233 824.551387 1636.423886 3871.191001
2025-03-23 104.200311 162.151667 260.197182 451.334902 851.679880 1760.038429 4429.917693
2025-03-30 97.168489 153.151672 249.542102 441.699031 856.358014 1835.898196 4894.955891
2025-04-06 91.875518 146.764891 243.036640 439.576445 877.521509 1958.648381 5571.792930
2025-04-13 84.502361 136.186683 227.954248 418.294623 851.688793 1954.214494 5817.076215
2025-04-20 83.078990 136.049482 232.212986 437.541472 924.109856 2233.705373 7258.574475
2025-04-27 82.438517 137.246978 239.068709 463.201448 1017.412203 2603.405180 9344.629319
2025-05-04 79.014705 133.042471 235.020049 464.297103 1048.460396 2795.318353 10804.879090
2025-05-11 74.508248 126.505197 225.809669 452.625857 1043.681770 2871.414497 11762.942829
2025-05-18 70.642936 120.944503 218.147345 443.715574 1045.104860 2969.924597 12933.966739
2025-05-25 69.014906 119.564759 218.901810 454.747165 1104.759905 3293.548373 15743.547347
2025-06-01 66.420466 116.132087 215.107961 454.343824 1131.285535 3505.923931 18113.100607
2025-06-08 63.184808 111.244551 207.884875 444.688097 1128.440840 3604.585805 19818.658082